<div dir="auto"><div>Ted,<div dir="auto">Could you please post the plots of hospitalization rates for the mwra districts on top of The Biobot plots of covid in Deer Island data to back up your statement about "noise". Runoff doesn't seem like it should be noise. Further, what is the magnitude of water runoff dilution as a fraction of signal?</div><div dir="auto"><br></div><div dir="auto">Thanks.</div><div dir="auto"><br><div data-smartmail="gmail_signature" dir="auto">David Lees <br>Tab S8+</div></div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Sun, Jan 15, 2023, 2:45 PM Ted Kochanski <<a href="mailto:tedpkphd@gmail.com">tedpkphd@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex"><div dir="ltr">John,<div><br></div><div>There is a big problem with this data being compared over long periods of time</div><div>Some of the waste water includes surface run-off and some mostly doesn't</div><div>hence, since the y axis is a concentration of virus in the water -- if the amount of "active water" from households is diluted by surface run-off because of recent rain or even more complicating melting snow mixed with recent rain -- how can you tell?</div><div><br></div><div>I suggest that the data suggests that last year there was a real spike and that recently there is just "noise" in the system</div><div><br></div><div>Ted</div><div><br></div></div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr">On Fri, Jan 13, 2023 at 8:17 PM <<a href="mailto:jjrudy1@comcast.net" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">jjrudy1@comcast.net</a>> wrote:<br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><div><div lang="EN-US"><div><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Don’t worry about the y-axis, just the shape of the curve. The article gave no indication as to what is “good”. In the later graph look at the winter spikes. The big problem was a year ago.<u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><u></u> <u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><img width="813" height="605" style="width:8.4687in;height:6.2968in" id="m_1813112638038506014m_4047070004367511897Picture_x0020_2" src="cid:185b6f115eb4cff311"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><u></u> <u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><img width="819" height="389" style="width:8.5312in;height:4.052in" id="m_1813112638038506014m_4047070004367511897Picture_x0020_3" src="cid:185b6f115eb5b16b22"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><u></u> <u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif">John Rudy<u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><u></u> <u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif">781-861-0402<u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif">781-718-8334 cell<u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif">13 Hawthorne Lane<u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif">Bedford MA<u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><a href="mailto:jjrudy1@comcast.net" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">jjrudy1@comcast.net</a><u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><img border="0" width="124" height="115" style="width:1.2916in;height:1.1927in" id="m_1813112638038506014m_4047070004367511897Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:185b6f115eb692e333"><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial,sans-serif"><u></u><u></u></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><u></u> <u></u></p></div></div>===============================================<br>
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