[Lex Computer & Tech Group/LCTG] Quantum Computing

[Ted Kochanski]

Bob P., et al

You made a gratuitous unsupported comment

> "Quantum Computing is like Nuclear Fusion -- it's always "5 years away",
> and then another five years, and then another five years, and so on."


While I'm interested in Quantum Computing -- I don't claim any profound
knowledge of it or its progress

On the other hand -- Nuclear Fusion has made enormous progress over its
history [Yes there have been unsubstantiated claims from time to time] --
But if you compare the rate of progress in Q [energy out/Energy In] it has
grown faster than the vaunted and somewhat also overhyped "Moore's Law as
applied to computer technology

see for example

ITER NEWSLINE 53
13 OCT, 2008
#53Pour les actualités en français
DOWN TO EARTH
Sabina Griffith

>
> Progress in plasma confinement performance compared to that of other
> advanced technologies.
> "We walked in there with clear minds and came out with a whole lot of
> crazy ideas," says Timothy Watson, Chief Technical Assistant to the Head of
> the Civil Construction & Site Support Department, recalling the two-day
> value engineering workshop that took place at the beginning of September in
> Aix-en-Provence and that had one clearly defined goal: to look at potential
> cost savings for the ITER buildings. "Even building ITER on the moon would
> have been a permissible suggestion if it could result in cost savings." So,
> being creative was one challenge, doing so before the design of the
> buildings is frozen was another.


https://static.iter.org/all/newsline_1_120/img/53/moores.jpg._1024.jpg

Fusion Progress vs time via ITER 2008
<https://static.iter.org/all/newsline_1_120/img/53/moores.jpg._1024.jpg>



Ted



On Thu, Aug 1, 2024 at 5:32 PM Robert Primak via LCTG <lctg at lists.toku.us>
wrote:

>
> On June 26, 2024, our group watched a series of videos by Sabine
> Hossenfelder in which she totally tore to pieces the outlandish claims made
> by people like those featured in this 60 Minutes segment. (Possibly some of
> the very same people, but certainly several of the same research groups.)
> (To review these videos, see the links on Steve Isenberg's wiki page for
> our group, under current and near-future meetings.)
>
> Quantum Computing is like Nuclear Fusion -- it's always "5 years away",
> and then another five years, and then another five years, and so on.
>
> Like cryptocurrencies  and LLMs ("AI"), you can buy into the hype and get
> fleeced, or you can wait and see what happens five years down the road. I
> guarantee, none of us in this group will live to see the day that these
> promised "breakthrough technologies" break through anything in our everyday
> lives.
>
> -- Bob Primak
>
>
>
> On Wednesday, July 31, 2024 at 08:54:34 PM EDT, Stan Rose via LCTG <
> lctg at lists.toku.us> wrote:
>
>
> CBS 60 Minutes did an interesting story Sunday night on Quantum Computers.
> It was a good explanation of how they work and what they look like. Here's
> a link to that story.
>
> https://www.cbs.com/shows/video/UQOnnWJMlK24ZpBdM_DKWJFv_MNecSHD/
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